Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.046831 0.050941 0.055106 0.059635 0.064414 0.069299 0.074665
2024-10-20 0.039420 0.045385 0.051656 0.058714 0.066409 0.074518 0.083682
2024-10-27 0.034795 0.042174 0.050190 0.059484 0.069898 0.081149 0.094159
2024-11-03 0.030291 0.038589 0.047892 0.058978 0.071713 0.085776 0.102366
2024-11-10 0.027029 0.036065 0.046489 0.059222 0.074171 0.090991 0.111168
2024-11-17 0.024605 0.034269 0.045715 0.060006 0.077107 0.096661 0.120454
2024-11-24 0.023632 0.034110 0.046794 0.062913 0.082494 0.105170 0.133067
2024-12-01 0.020527 0.031017 0.044065 0.061016 0.081990 0.106651 0.137389
2024-12-08 0.018410 0.029014 0.042535 0.060448 0.082971 0.109802 0.143619
2024-12-15 0.016654 0.027342 0.041300 0.060135 0.084172 0.113153 0.150050
2024-12-22 0.016047 0.027185 0.041995 0.062256 0.088398 0.120194 0.160968
2024-12-29 0.015103 0.026476 0.041894 0.063298 0.091235 0.125523 0.169826
2025-01-05 0.014105 0.025650 0.041628 0.064148 0.093894 0.130744 0.178721
2025-01-12 0.012632 0.024014 0.040160 0.063326 0.094352 0.133197 0.184213
2025-01-19 0.011834 0.023337 0.039986 0.064218 0.097028 0.138452 0.193223
2025-01-26 0.010697 0.022040 0.038850 0.063729 0.097837 0.141312 0.199234
2025-02-02 0.009881 0.021186 0.038303 0.064011 0.099644 0.145437 0.206847
2025-02-09 0.009284 0.020643 0.038175 0.064852 0.102182 0.150501 0.215666
2025-02-16 0.009297 0.021129 0.039600 0.067924 0.107782 0.159587 0.229682
2025-02-23 0.008084 0.019396 0.037557 0.065928 0.106389 0.159500 0.231918
2025-03-02 0.007301 0.018350 0.036515 0.065331 0.106880 0.161855 0.237285
2025-03-09 0.006641 0.017470 0.035684 0.065002 0.107711 0.164643 0.243207
2025-03-16 0.006547 0.017653 0.036563 0.067239 0.112170 0.172296 0.255516